Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 78.122637 87.640360 97.348874 107.961323 119.204697 130.732802 143.417422
2025-09-07 64.318439 78.152609 92.866711 109.553595 127.830979 147.131173 168.943882
2025-09-14 56.176400 72.497905 90.397842 111.224812 134.548710 159.647020 188.486921
2025-09-21 48.429816 66.268096 86.408400 110.395403 137.787758 167.743397 202.644122
2025-09-28 41.316438 59.995938 81.702357 108.136288 138.872479 172.976803 213.198610
2025-10-05 38.693237 58.772262 82.608522 112.103055 146.833047 185.753967 232.034655
2025-10-12 35.695673 56.778230 82.349419 114.488779 152.793040 196.123835 248.043197
2025-10-19 31.663645 53.123179 79.793225 113.894785 155.069792 202.112740 258.931679
2025-10-26 28.115350 49.798675 77.407990 113.301044 157.174630 207.764852 269.316780
2025-11-02 25.496215 47.503269 76.152248 113.949320 160.646331 214.919046 281.361682
2025-11-09 22.554010 44.513829 73.815645 113.095252 162.177227 219.695122 290.563662
2025-11-16 20.290346 42.302904 72.357395 113.230695 164.819993 225.714485 301.160920
2025-11-23 17.732479 39.469036 69.951338 112.087358 165.866489 229.849440 309.600290
2025-11-30 16.258921 38.167226 69.550552 113.481396 170.027301 237.701390 322.430188
2025-12-07 15.032885 37.144488 69.460586 115.224190 174.582431 246.000765 335.773543
2025-12-14 13.151195 34.871605 67.483665 114.371810 175.791709 250.192085 344.183981
2025-12-21 11.067530 32.022393 64.518407 112.067380 175.054599 251.933904 349.600242
2025-12-28 10.811399 32.377067 66.239225 116.115001 182.458952 263.660539 367.027331
2026-01-04 10.174628 31.975003 66.797808 118.548879 187.771426 272.810784 381.355093
2026-01-11 8.879820 30.198944 65.198995 117.942938 189.099634 277.010056 389.678032
2026-01-18 7.710346 28.516271 63.650367 117.337234 190.376582 281.109068 397.852503
2026-01-25 6.905053 27.470401 63.033542 117.998571 193.285381 287.220868 408.464291
2026-02-01 5.888501 25.826901 61.382277 117.127289 194.125448 290.714083 415.858012